Secrets of Risk Management
Sample Case Study

The course Secrets of Risk Management includes five case studies. All are based on extensive interviews with employees of actual companies. Various industries are represented from the capital, commodity and energy markets, but no industry-specific knowledge is assumed. Attendees read about a situation faced by a firm. They answer questions about that situation and decide how they would act. Then they read about subsequent developments at the firm and assess their answers in light of those developments. Below is an example of one case study from the course.

Case Study

Company A

Company A is an unregulated electricity wholesaling firm owned by a utility holding company.  

Current Organization

The company is small, with just 35 employees. Day-to-day operations are run by a president, but strategic decisions tend to be made by a vice president of the holding company. The risk management department reports to the controller of the holding company and comprises two people. The board of directors is composed of executives from the holding company and Company A. There is a Risk Committee that comprises the board members and the two risk managers. It also includes a lawyer and an operations VP, both from the holding company.

Soon after it was formed, the company hired a number of professional traders and engaged in modest speculative trading and “back-to-back” wholesale transactions. Results from the speculative trading were poor, and the Risk Committee severely limited subsequent trading activities. This left traders with little to do, and all but one soon left the company. Today, the entire (speculative) trading department comprises that one trader.

A modest wholesale business continues. The focus is on plain vanilla "load serving" deals. The firm is actively seeking to take over public utilities’ wholesale clients. The approach is extremely conservative.

The firm was “forced” to get into the retail electricity business by the holding company. To date, this has been a “loss leader” with a risk manager commenting: “We sell electricity at a loss, but maybe we are learning some lessons from it.”

There is a Power Marketing group that engages in short-term transactions of under a week. The firm has no generating facilities, but has not ruled out ultimately purchasing some.

The board of directors is actively engaged in the operation of the firm and are very conservative about risk. They perceive a need to identify the right niche for the firm in the deregulated marketplace but don’t want to “invest another 10 million dollars just to see it lost.” Accordingly, the company faces significant business risk as it plans a strategy for the future, but it is loath to take any tactical risks that could lose money in the short-term. Junior and middle-level staff complain that they can’t do anything because controls and risk limits are so prohibitive.

There is a monthly Risk Committee meeting immediately following the monthly board meeting. This is largely a continuation of the board meeting with a few additional attendees. The Risk Committee “reviews” new policies and procedures just implemented by the board. They also review all credit risk and market risk limit violations during the month. “They pounce on any violations.” They also review volume of activity in each of the businesses and may occasionally have educational presentations relating to aspects of risk management. Recently, the risk managers were going to give a presentation on value-at-risk (VaR) but were cautioned: “You can explain VAR to us, but don’t get too technical.”

In addition to the two members of the risk management department, the firm hired a dedicated risk manager to work in the wholesale department. This individual was to provide second opinions on trades prior to their being made. That individual has since taken on wholesale trading responsibilities.

The risk management department itself is responsible for supporting the board’s policy and procedure setting. Policies and procedures were originally written by a consulting firm but don’t fit the business. Accordingly, the risk managers constantly draft consent resolutions to have them updated. Continually rewriting the policies and procedures manuals to reflect these changes is an enormous task. Risk managers enter all trade tickets and perform other related tasks. They monitor activities of other departments to ensure policies and procedures are being observed. Other work includes preparing risk assessments for the board on all proposed wholesale transactions and preparing a comprehensive risk report each day. A frustrated risk manager commented: “It is amazing how you can prepare a daily report for 35 people and have them understand so little of it.”

The original utility (which became the holding company) was a very paternalistic company. It had a “family culture.” That is going away, especially in Company A. People feel threatened and isolated. As a means of gaining job security, they hoard information, refusing to share it with others.

Decision making is confrontational. “You can’t do a deal until it is analyzed every way.” Wholesale traders undermine the role of the risk managers by withholding information on proposed deals until it is too late to perform analyses. Five times, the president has called the risk managers into his office and threatened to fire them: “You are bright people, but you just don’t do your jobs.”

Risk managers do not feel that they are allowed to be facilitators and feel “unpopular” for this reason. They are, however, proud of their work, and point to their successes in credit risk management. The firm has survived two volatile summers without a single credit loss. Last Summer, the board actually set aside $100 million in anticipation of credit losses that never came.

Questions

Company A

1.       On a scale of 1 (poor) to 10 (excellent), how well would you say senior management understands the risks being taken by the firm? Explain your answer.

2.       On a scale of 1 (poor) to 10 (excellent), how well would you say has senior management communicated a clear purpose for tactical risk agents? Explain your answer.

3.       Is there a clear distinction between risk management and other functions?

4.       In the following table, select the cell that best describes risk management (its strength as well as its effectiveness) in the company. Base your assessment on the following definitions:

·         Risk management is strong if it exists in practice as well as in name, has a clearly defined role and has strong support throughout the organization.

·         Risk management has a positive effect if it promotes a sound risk taking process that would not exist in its absence. A negative effect detracts from the organization’s risk taking process.

5.   Explain your answer to the last question.

6.  How would you improve this company’s risk management?


Recent Developments

Company A

There was another incident recently that landed the risk managers in the president’s office. There was shouting, desk slamming and their jobs were threatened again. They have a modicum of job security because they report to the controller of the holding company. However, the president is now lobbying to have risk management report to him. This is being opposed at various levels of the organization. If the change were to take place, the organizational chart would be as shown below:

Proposed Organization

 

Follow-up Questions

Company A

1.       What is good or bad about this development?

2.   Does this development reinforce or counter your earlier conclusions about the company?

 

More Information About
Secrets of Risk Management

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